Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 29.582858 34.111488 39.017681 44.717152 51.144906 58.158207 66.378042
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 21.973552 28.252374 35.714558 45.184120 56.822823 70.598212 88.068981
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 17.423991 24.447404 33.429947 45.639244 61.661840 81.816126 108.904746
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 13.313921 20.188622 29.567177 43.095830 61.869925 86.723756 121.775577
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 11.536542 18.670724 28.939735 44.493314 67.075814 98.218534 143.843878
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 10.403261 17.838090 29.057351 46.786929 73.550175 111.766150 169.583320
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 8.713895 15.843612 27.126434 45.726611 74.902423 118.005236 185.280307
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 7.146091 13.770197 24.754623 43.623426 74.335038 121.204704 196.551724
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 6.745933 13.615127 25.435338 46.405537 81.532296 136.500017 226.887891
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.607393 13.896613 26.857054 50.510800 91.137675 156.107154 265.045756
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.968433 13.142452 26.368966 51.271606 95.228738 167.198330 290.441091
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.304428 12.233037 25.479038 51.201275 97.844999 175.994655 312.593016
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.536724 11.033085 23.977352 50.007878 98.659624 182.296305 331.847697
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.995235 10.228065 23.150374 50.015688 101.681551 192.666785 358.844761
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.563926 9.588281 22.563796 50.407813 105.419991 204.516216 389.129472
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.919551 8.326895 20.503365 47.607825 102.842719 204.941616 399.470403
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.704985 8.066781 20.554970 49.129905 108.722986 221.007632 438.521562
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.580031 8.011293 21.051316 51.633178 116.735513 241.496074 486.735674
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.230321 7.291996 19.921916 50.475460 117.211470 247.828451 509.274346
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.865208 6.448909 18.369876 48.178663 115.084789 248.973998 522.105370
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.824123 6.534917 19.110900 51.216602 124.510714 273.215483 580.146988
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.850587 6.829682 20.414347 55.696178 137.375829 304.979147 654.258392
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 1.702319 6.553855 20.204546 56.525960 142.277232 321.036701 698.582516